Miss Val St
W-L: ( 9-22) PR = 91.3107Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 50-95 1109 H Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 43-** 1113 H Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 50-** 1116 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 72-68 1119 H Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 66-73 1202 H Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 50-66 1204 H Tulsa AME (19-12, 94.6) 53-** 1206 H Oklahoma St B12 (23-11, 96.6) 1214 H Mercer SO (16-13, 92.9) 43-66 1217 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 34-** 1220 H UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 62-86 101 A Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 74-72 103 H Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 50-83 108 H TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 62-72 110 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 80-73 115 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 74-88 117 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 64-55 122 H Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 46-69 131 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 66-68 205 H Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 72-75 207 H Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 50-64 212 H Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 70-86 214 H Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 55-95 219 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 67-45 221 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 78-64 223 H Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 59-84 228 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 48-68 303 H Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 56-67 305 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 66-50 309 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 63-49 310 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 74-81
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H Troy 50-95 -45 -4 0.00
1109 H Miss St 43-** -64 -5 0.00
1113 H Auburn 50-** -60 -4 0.00
1116 A Lipscomb 72-68 4 -1 + 3.21
1119 H Nicholls 66-73 -7 -1 -0.69
1202 H Tarleton St 50-66 -16 -2 -0.07
1204 H Tulsa 53-** -48 -3 0.00
1214 H Mercer 43-66 -23 -2 -0.38
1217 H Ole Miss 34-** -68 -6 0.00
1220 H UAB 62-86 -24 -2 0.00
101 A Alabama A&M 74-72 2 -2 ++ 4.00
103 H Alabama St 50-83 -33 -1 -0.66
108 H TX Southern 62-72 -10 0 - -2.33
110 A Prairie View 80-73 7 2 0.00
115 H Florida A&M 74-88 -14 0 -1.65
117 A Beth-Cook 64-55 9 0 1.65
122 H Southern 46-69 -23 -2 -0.08
131 H AK-Pine Bl 66-68 -2 -1 -0.84
205 H Alcorn St 72-75 -3 -1 -0.81
207 H Jackson St 50-64 -14 -1 -1.39
212 H Alabama St 70-86 -16 -1 -0.66
214 H Alabama A&M 55-95 -40 -2 0.00
219 A Prairie View 67-45 22 2 0.00
221 A TX Southern 78-64 14 0 1.69
223 H Grambling St 59-84 -25 -1 -1.34
228 H AK-Pine Bl 48-68 -20 -1 -0.84
303 H Alcorn St 56-67 -11 -1 -0.81
305 A Jackson St 66-50 16 -1 + 2.63
309 A Prairie View 63-49 14 2 0.00
310 H AK-Pine Bl 74-81 -7 -1 -0.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 108 H TX Southern 62-72 -10 0 - -2.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 101 A Alabama A&M 74-72 2 -2 ++ 4.00 1116 A Lipscomb 72-68 4 -1 + 3.21 305 A Jackson St 66-50 16 -1 + 2.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 50-95 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 1.01 -2.29
3 H Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 43-** -3.94 7.02 -0.01 1.01 -2.00
3 H Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 50-** -4.29 6.67 -0.01 1.01 -2.18
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 72-68 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.01 7.24
3 H Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 66-73 -7.27 3.69 -0.01 1.01 -3.68
3 H Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 50-66 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 1.01 -3.37
3 H Tulsa (19-12, 94.6) 53-** -5.34 5.62 -0.01 1.01 -2.70
3 H Mercer (16-13, 92.9) 43-66 -6.96 4.00 -0.01 1.01 -3.53
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 34-** -2.82 8.14 -0.01 1.01 -1.43
3 H UAB (11-19, 93.5) 62-86 -6.41 4.55 -0.01 1.01 -3.25
3 A Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 74-72 -6.36 4.60 0.01 1.01 9.33
3 H Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 50-83 -7.24 3.72 -0.01 1.01 -3.67
3 H TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 62-72 -8.91 2.05 -0.01 1.01 -4.51
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 80-73 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 H Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 74-88 -8.23 2.73 -0.01 1.01 -4.17
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 64-55 -8.95 2.01 0.01 1.01 4.09
3 H Southern (18-14, 93.2) 46-69 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 1.01 -3.37
3 H AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 66-68 -7.42 3.54 -0.01 1.01 -3.76
3 H Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 72-75 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 1.01 -3.74
3 H Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 50-64 -7.97 2.99 -0.01 1.01 -4.04
3 H Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 70-86 -7.24 3.72 -0.01 1.01 -3.67
3 H Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 55-95 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 1.01 -3.22
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 67-45 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 78-64 -8.91 2.05 0.01 1.01 4.17
3 H Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 59-84 -7.92 3.04 -0.01 1.01 -4.01
3 H AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 48-68 -7.42 3.54 -0.01 1.01 -3.76
3 H Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 56-67 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 1.01 -3.74
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 66-50 -7.97 2.99 0.01 1.01 6.06
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 63-49 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 H AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 74-81 -7.42 3.54 -0.01 1.01 -3.76
------
-36.83
|
winning pts = 37.0163 losing points = -73.8454
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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